A new poll from CEPEX finds that Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 5 points in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania. With 20 electoral college votes, Pennsylvania is critical to a Clinton victory. The state has backed the Democrat for President in every election since 1992 and without a Democrat would face a narrow path to the White House.
If Trump wins Pennsylvania he would almost certainly be on a glide path to victory. Pennsylvania has elected conservative congressmen and senators including Rick Santorum and current Senator Pat Toomey, but victory there has eluded Republican presidential nominees for over 30 years. The eastern part of the state, especially Philadelphia and its suburbs are liberal while the rural areas are conservative and the western part of the state including Pittsburgh is home to many thousands of Reagan Democrats.
It’s these one-time Reagan Democrats – or their children – who may break the state for Trump. It’s also worth noting that recent polling shows Trump getting 20% of the black vote compared to Romney’s 5%-6%. This is significant nationwide, but especially in a city like Philadelphia.
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE DONALD TRUMP HAS SURGED TO A 5-POINT LEAD OVER DEMOCRATIC RIVAL HILLARY CLINTON IN THE KEY BATTLEGROUND STATE OF PENNSYLVANIA AS PER A LATEST POLL.
Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, August 20, 2016 (Newswire.com) – Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has surged to a 5-point lead over democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania as per the poll conducted by CEPEX Center for Excellence in Project Execution, on Friday (19th Aug 2016).
Trump leads Clinton 41.9 percent to 36.5 percent, with 21.5 percent voters undecided. Trump’s lead is just inside the margin of error and marks the first time that the Republican candidate is catching up in the traditional stronghold state of the democratic party.
“With the undecided voters holding the key which way the state eventually goes in November, both the campaign teams will be tweaking their ground games to win over this key demographic” – Parth Mukherjee, Expert Principal, CEPEX Center for Excellence in Project Execution. “One of the reasons of Trump’s surge is attributable to increasing support from the women” – added Mukherjee.
PARTH MUKHERJEE, EXPERT PRINCIPAL