Let’s cut to the chase. There has already been a lot of digital ink spilled and a lot of breath expended on Super Tuesday. Here’s what you need to know:
- Trump won. Period. All of the talk about the magnitude of his victory not being as large as expected is damage control from partisans backing other candidates or who are just anti-Trump. Any dispassionate observer can see it – Trump won 7 states as diverse as Massachusetts and Alabama and won most demographics. Period. He rolls into the 4 primaries on Saturday and the important Michigan primary next Tuesday with significant momentum. The nomination is his to lose.
- Ted Cruz solidified his position as the best alternative to Trump. He has a strong, national base among hardcore, movement conservatives. His consistent, conservative message is effective even if he does not inspire. He won 3 states yesterday and currently has the second most delegates. Even Lindsay Graham, the burr under so many conservative saddles suggested last night that Republicans consider rallying to Cruz.
- Rubio demonstrated that he has no natural constituency in the Republican Party beyond pundits and political professionals. His strongest support last night came from the D.C. suburbs in Northern Virignia. And he followed in the hapless footsteps of Walter Mondale and George McGovern winning only liberal Minnesota. Current polling shows Rubio is not popular in his home state of Florida making that must-win race an uphill battle. The millions of dollars and undying support of the pundit class behind a virtually winless Rubio explains why a majority of the party (Trump + Cruz) have no use for the elites. If he doesn’t win Florida decisively on March 15th he should exit the race and look for a job. He’s not running for re-election to his Senate seat so he’ll be unemployed in January. The rationale for Rubio’s candidacy looks more and more like something dreamed by a study committee in December, 2012.
- John Kasich demonstrated his strong appeal to the many Republicans of Vermont. Until he didn’t and we found out that Trump won the state. Kasich’s only possible role going forward is as a spoiler. If he can win winner take all Ohio, of which is the sitting governor, he may have a bargaining chip at the convention in July but nothing more. In any other year, Kasich would be out by now and looking to help another candidate consolidate support but mercenary political calculus and enablers in the D.C. cartel who will use anyone to deny Trump the nomination are encouraging Kasich’s futile campaign.
- Ben Carson is still running. If you know why, let me know. I would guess he ends his campaign sometime after the Michigan primary next Tuesday.
Now you’re all caught up.
COMMENTS ARE OPEN BELOW.
Follow me on Twitter: @TheChrisBuskirk